Kansas City). Under five minutes [to go], more than a two score game (17-plus point lead).. Something, somethingTom Bradysomething, something. Drake is a free agent in 2021, and its hard to get a read on his value after a good-not-great season. And what about first-half blowouts? Garbage time prevent defense stats. If I was them I would start spending money on the D. If they end up wasting 3-4 years of this guys prime, BOB should be exiled from football. To put this bad boy to rest, Ill leave you with this: What you see here is the percentage of offensive snaps each team has taken while enjoying a lead this season. 2021-22 Jones 2021-22 Chabot 2021-22 Burns 2021-22 Letang 2021-22 Makar 2021-22 Werenski 2021-22 Josi 2021-22 Toews 2021-22 Hughes 2021-22 Hedman 2021-22 Nurse 2021-22 Ekblad 2021-22 Provorov 2021-22 Heiskanen 2021-22 McAvoy 2021-22 . That can result in lots of carries and yards. Falcons fans have been using stat padder as their only knock on Drew Brees for years. Now Watt wants out. Despite having a rookie quarterback under center, theyve called 65 passes and only six runs this season. He never even put on his helmet and was functionally standing inside an invisible glass box labeled break in case of emergency. Hill didnt play a single snap in his usual position-less role. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. Its clear that fourth quarter play-calling is not a good indicator of a teams offensive philosophy. Cousins was horrible during the Vikings first six games of last season, theres no arguing against that. Pick a team in the above chart and scan across its rankings in each of the three categories. However, since this is a community, that view is no less important. For more information, please see our 2) I didn't really know what to expect before I did this; I suspected that Kirk is probably pretty average in the overall contribution of garbage time to his numbers, and that the meme is pretty overblown - but that was just based on anecdotal stuff like some of cka2nd's recent posts.]. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. "Waste Time With Us!" Brought to you by Manscaped! 31 . We can leave that data be. If some team trades for Minshew once the Jaguars lock into drafting Clemsons Trevor Lawrence, they should brace for a quarterback who is better at losing with groovy grace and dignity than one who will lead them to many victories. To make it easy to read, teams are sorted by their pass rates under normal game circumstances. Surprising because garbage time is often check down to the third-down back time. When you compile all of Kirk's production in garbage time from 2020, his numbers are: 55/78 (70.5 completion%) 704 passing yards 7 touchdowns 0 interceptions 128.36 passer rating Honestly, how many quarterbacks in todays NFL dont benefit from such accommodating circumstances? Atlanta calls a pass an NFL-high 66 percent of the time in normal game circumstances. After the Vikings bye in Week 7, however, the veteran quarterback didnt toss another garbage-time score until the teams Week 14 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 15 Worst Free Agents Signings of All-Time. But other quarterbacks, wide receivers, and running backs thrived in the briar patch of blowouts during the 2020 season. The only surprise here is that Aaron Jones averaged just 3.7 yards per attempt. Just look at their losses to the New York Giants, Atlanta Falcons, and Tennessee Titans (who just got whacked by the lowly Houston Texans this week) earlier this season. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. This is a subreddit for the NFL community. The Green Bay Packers took a 41-10 lead over the Bears late in the third quarter in Week 12, but Robinson caught 4 fourth-quarter passes and scored a touchdown in what became a 41-25 final. With that as the biggest factor (not to mention our other garbage time qualifications), winning teams high on the pass rate list (like Atlanta and Green Bay), wont be quite as high on the unadjusted play-calling list. Possibly one of the worse defense in NFL. Thats the difference between icing a victory and trying to stage a comeback. Edit: in fact I bet stats like this can be directly tied to the point differential. However, notice that pass rates rise rapidly from the second quarter on when the team trails by 14-plus. Regular . All-time Scores, Find a Score. @AnalogErik appears to be on the same page. But he completely turned around his performance after Minnesotas bye week and he played a huge part in the team getting back into the playoff hunt. My preferred metric, ANY/A, has Kirk in 9th at +0.91just a shade behind Drew Brees (and Philip Rivers, both +0.99) - so yeah, it seems that some some pretty good QBs get the same types of bonuses that Kirk does. So, where does the Eagles signal-caller accumulate most of his stats? Get box score updates on the Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints football game. PLAY. There shouldnt be any lofty expectations for Hurts to be a top-10 QB this year. 2021-22. 2019-20. Below is a table of the times the Vikings found themselves in garbage time last season and what Cousins' production from that point on looked like. Without removing the garbage-time production for the other quarterbacks throughout the rest of the NFL, Cousins 100.85 passer rating would have ranked 11th in 2020. We know its there. I havent watched enough Texans games this year to say one way or the other what Watsons season has been like, but I remember everyone thought Blake Bortles was on the cusp of being elite when he gained massive garbage-time stats early in his career with the Jags. Lololol r/falcons on suicide watch. for NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. Obviously, both teams are in garbage time.. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. All three teams went into soft prevent coverage in the final period, allowing the Saints to put up 53 of their 75 points in that quarter. The Real Housewives of Atlanta The Bachelor Sister Wives 90 Day Fiance Wife Swap The Amazing Race Australia Married at First Sight The Real Housewives of Dallas My 600-lb Life Last Week Tonight with John Oliver. More 2021 NFL Pages. The Dallas Cowboys spent much of last season spotting their opponents 21-point leads in the first quarter. That may seem odd, but it makes sense when you take into account the mad rush for points after the two minute warning. Minshew completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt in garbage time last year. Watson is like Stafford, a great talent, who coaches get too greedy with, rather than blending in with a total team effort. XFL Fantasy Football Rankings Week 2: Josh Gordon, Jeff Badet, Max Borghi, and More, Final Fantasy PPR Rankings for the NFL Playoffs: Tony Pollard, Ezekiel Elliott, James Cook, and More, NFL All-Time RB Records: Season and Career Leaders, College football Week 6 live reactions, results, and takeaways. Only regular season games are included. 2020-21. Gardner Minshew, Nick Mullens, Drew Lock, and Matthew Stafford all attempted more throws than Cousins last season when their teams trailed by at least 16 points in the second half of a contest. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. The official source for NFL news, video highlights, fantasy football, game-day coverage, schedules, stats, scores and more. I followed by pulling play-calling splits based on two categories: (1) time remaining in the game and (2) the scoreboard. That explains why Henry doesnt top this list the Titans let his backup share the load when the game was in hand. A popular one around the DN,. Yet, we shouldnt read too much into per-carry averages when a running back is plunging into the heart of a defense that knows hes coming. The only running back on our list. NFL Draft. The Blitz says: Gaskin rushed 8 times in the fourth quarter of the Dolphins 31-13 win over the Jaguars. On the other hand, its hard to be too optimistic about a quarterbacks future who always seems to look gritty and determined when playing from way, way behind. Thats because while quarterbacks and receivers play catch-up in losses, running backs are generally called upon to squat on leads. He ended the night with 270 yards passing, much of which came in garbage time, while being held without a touchdown for just the second time in 56 games since taking over KC's starting job in 2018. All Rights Reserved. See NFL player statistics across every major statistical category. Never the QBs fault even though the vasy majority of the stats are picked up against prevent defenses. @AlfredJohn says no. However, on offense you have to help your defense by running the ball, controlling the clock and moving the chains. At least not as much as second or third-tier running backs on borderline Wild Card teams that go into the tortoise formation to preserve their victories like Drake and Gaskin. 2017-18. Featured | Stats That Matter: Diontae Johnson and the NFLs dropped pass leaders. 21 Jan 2023 01:32:03 When games are within one score, Hurts seems to be inaccurate and indecisive with the ball. the portion of an NFL game where play-calling on both sides of the ball is disrupted by game situation. The Eagles are now six weeks into the Nick Sirianni/Jalen Hurts era, and there are perhaps more questions now than there were before the season. If Hurts underwhelms, expect the team to be in the mix for a new quarterback next season. This is the Stafford syndrome. during Kirk's time in Minnesota. Every snap Hurts takes this season is being thoroughly analyzed by not only the fans but the organization itself. For example, the Browns call a pass 48 percent of the time when ahead on the scoreboard. At a glance, the data does support the garbage time narrative. Theyre just ahead of the Redskins (49 percent) and Jets/Seahawks (51 percent). Maybe Stafford was a courageous warrior battling valiantly while everything around him collapsed over the last few seasons. by 16 points in the second half. Ravens tie NFL record for 100-yard rushing games on garbage. You might suspect that Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is one of the kings of garbage-time production. These are more to be used as reference tools, but you will be able to successfully correlate many of these numbers to our earlier charts. They essentially scrap the gameplan and move to a pass-first attack. At a glance, the data does support the "garbage time" narrative. Its no coincidence that the best quarterbacks are always league leaders in passer rating. Learn how your comment data is processed. . Report: Broncos Were 'Livid' at Ravens for Stat-Padding in Garbage Time. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Cookie Notice It turns out that big-name running backs on powerhouse teams dont benefit much from garbage-time production. Minshew also attempted 78 garbage-time passes as a rookie in 2019. Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings: 13 receptions for 233 yards in garbage time. Whether thats by design or due to Hurts bailing on plays early is another conversation. That would be the highest rate by any QB in a season in NFL history. The last way I chose to examine the data was by how one's rate stats in garbage time compare to his equivalent overall stats during the 3-year window. Unfortunately for Watson, the Texans are in bad salary cap shape and dont have a first-round pick or a second-round pick next season. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Publish date: Oct 4, 2021 11:55 AM EDT. So basically, if were going to criticize Cousins final stats for being misleading, we should also criticize the way in which his 2020 garbage-time numbers were calculated. The following production comes when the players team isleadingby 16 points in the second half. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. The Liberty Line is partnering with our friends over atPickupto give awayTWOCROSSNETS($150 value). I did not account for team impacts on the relatively small number that changed teams (e.g. Find out which teams throw most often when leading, behind, in garbage time, etc. 3 receiver? NFL Premium Stats; NFL Player Grades; Free Agent Rankings; QB Annual 2022; About Player Grades; Social @PFF; Facebook; Instagram . Trading J.J. Watts for draft picks almost seems inevitable. On the one hand, its hard to argue that Minshew benefitted from padded stats. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. Its cost us wins. This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. The first thing to notice is that the top of the list is populated by back ups and marginal starters - exactly as one would expect, since such guys often see a significant chunk of their work in mop-up duty. Watson averaged 4,000 yards passing and 26 tds the prior couple of seasons when the Texans made the playoffs.In your *expert* opinion what was the reason an average QB put up probowl numbers and lead his team to the playoffs the prior 2 seasons? You love it when your team is winning, hate it when the team is losing, and change the channel when you have no rooting or wagering interest in the blowout. He threw two terrible interceptions, one of them returned 50 yards for a touchdown by Slay, and was missing open receivers all day. Trailing in the fourth quarter Take a look at our first chart. Garbage time is any time when the trailing team doesn't make a comeback. Both are probably true to some degree. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. Were aware of it. Watsons performance this season was unprecedented, because ordinarily when a quarterback is playing at an MVP level, his team is winning. pic.twitter.com/ajYQfqPNOq, Follow Victor Williams onTwitter,Instagram, andTikTok | Subscribe to The Philly Pod today. Lets look at some of the players who saw the most action in lopsided losses (and wins for running backs) last year, examine their production, and determine what all that trash collection could mean for them in 2021 and beyond. Here's the overall passing numbers (sorted by attempts) for all 42 of the QBs in my sample set during the 2018-20 period: Cousins ranks 8th in yards, 2nd in completion percentage, 5th in TDs, 12th in Y/A, 7th in QB rating, and 9th in ANY/A (my preferred QB metric). What you see here is each teams pass rate splits based on the score. Well known for his social media presence and unique takes on the landscape of Philadelphia sports, Victor takes pride in engaging with the fanbase in ways not too often seen from today's sports personalities. Staffords Los Angeles Rams wont get blown out nearly as often as the Detroit Lions did last year. Memes; they're everywhere - including in NFL narratives. . For example, KC's QB rating in garbage time is 110.7, compared to his overall rating of 103.6 - for a difference of +7.1, meaning he is a somewhat better QB in garbage time than overall. Any time in the game where its unlikely that a team comes back to win. Because after those six matchups, he was not deserving of a seat on the garbage-time throne. Related | Dynasty Running Back Rankings: Top assets heading into 2021. Do you use those same assets to acquire a new quarterback via draft or trade. Who was NFL MVP in 2021? That just goes to show that stats are for losers! Its tempting to look at this fourth quarter rally as a sign of progress, but its fools gold. There is a ton to be learned from this chart and theres certainly enough here for us to come up with a decent garbage time definition. Meanwhile, their opponent (well say Houston), is also going to be impacted by this game situation. Theyre a good two percentage points ahead of the Packers and Lions (64 percent). Whether it be his contract, his inability to win the big game on the road, or his record on Monday Night Football, Minnesota pigskin skeptics have no problem coming up with reasons why Cousins deserves a place closer to the rear of the NFL quarterback hierarchy. The losers usually have to keep struggling and striving until that last DFS-altering, point spread-ruining, over-clearing, Kirk Cousins-enriching touchdown. Please check your email for a confirmation. Lock completed just 55.7% of his passes for 5.2 yards per attempt in situations where opposing defenses generally ease off the throttle and allow some easy completions over the middle. Passing; Rushing; Receiving; Scrimmage Stats; Defense; Kicking; . Those numbers were lower than his 66.1% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt for the whole season. Matt Ryan had far more attempts than any of the others, and guys like Rodgers and Brady played all 48 games. Playoffs . But Kliff Kingsbury switched to Cro-Magnon tactics during the Cardinals occasional blowouts last season. When their opponents are taking them seriously and putting in the effort to pressure Siemian and challenge his receivers, Sean Payton hasnt had an answer for them. You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or NFL teams. But perhaps a veteran of his caliber and reputation should have been able to generate more completions and fewer sacks when playing from behind instead of digging a slightly deeper hole. A QB can make a career out of this if he plays his cards right. Starting []. Offense . 6. I wonder if the WFT has the cajones? Also, continue to visitPro Football Networkfor NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. NFL Fantasy College NFL Draft DFS Betting Defining 'Garbage Time' By mikeclay Nov 30, 2012 . Of course they arent, but isnt the play-calling influenced by the scoreboard? But if nothing else, this three-game losing skid has to put a dampener on the expectations for this season. 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Time in normal game circumstances after those six matchups, he was not deserving of a game also continue...