Dividends and income are included in the index returns. So, although we are not seeing any crash, we do see weakness in the financial markets. This is what he wrote in Exodus: You shall sow your land for six years and gather in its yield, but on the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow, so that the needy of your people may eat; and whatever they leave the beast of the field may eat. On this year of jubilee each of you shall return to his own property. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! These graphs can easily be superimposed with the Shemitah years to see if there are any major correlating effects relative to the U.S. economy (the U.S. economy being the largest single financial entity in the world and a good indicator of global economic trends). In addition, although the Shemitah of 1930-1931 occurred right in the middle of the long stock market slide at the beginning of the Great Depression, the Shemitah year did not occur during the Dows initial severe collapse during the fall of 1929. Feel free to contact me if you have questions or comments. For instance, the Ten Commandments clearly have important application to all people throughout all time, not just to the Jews and the nation of Israel. 1916-1917 Year of Shemitah (*Super Shemitah Year) - Stock market drops 40%. Note: The people of Israel actually follow two yearly calendars. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. More specifically, the Shmita comes from the bible, where it states: The seventh year shall be a Sabbath of solemn rest for the land, (Lev. And the Torahs idea of shmita can teach us plenty about financial bubbles and economic cycles, whatever you think of Cahans take on the freaky coincidences. Corresponding to the number of years after the jubilee, you shall buy from your friend; he is to sell to you according to the number of years of crops. In other words, did God design not only Israels economy, but also the world economy to ideally function in much the same way that he instructed Israel through the Law? In this way, all property bought and sold between Hebrews was really only rented for a time and not permanently transferred or lost. You shall have the fiftieth year as a jubilee; you shall not sow, nor reap its aftergrowth, nor gather in from its untrimmed vines. Risk Disclaimer & Terms of Service The cherry-picking effect is often the outcome of seeing a pattern related to some phenomenon or data set, but not going further to rigorously analyze the data in the proper way to see if it is real. On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). Here is the crazy thing, the actual returns are different for the Shmita years. German, Austro-Hungarian, Russian and Ottoman Empires collapsed. Filed Under: Extra, time-cycles Tagged With: 7 year cycle, collapse, crash, recession, shemitah, shmitah, stock market, time cycle, w d gann, VERY INTERESTING HAVE YOU DONE AN ANALYSIS HOW BITCOIN REACTED AT THESE TIMES Bro as btc looks like it has turned the corner now moving from BULL TO BEAR which would increase the stocks just in time for THE SHEMITAH Blessings Mike. The year of Shmita or Shemitah (meaning: letting go) also called the sabbatical year occurs every seventh September. Ben Reppond(406) 871-3321ben@reppondinvestments.comLearn how we manage money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4IdPxtjBYo\u0026t=3220sInstagram: @benreppondBloomberg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hA3IkauON4CNBC Joe Kernanhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BlmLyfx5tcECNBC Scott Wapnerhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nb1cGFjXXtYJonathan CahnThe Mystery of the Shemitahhttps://www.amazon.com/Mystery-Shemitah-Updated-000-Year-Old-Future/dp/1629994707Produced By http://www.thepyrostudios.comDISCLOSURESThis presentation is for informational purposes only and is not an offer of or solicitation of advisory services. We actually cant tell from Cahns book if the Shemitah Effect really does exist or if it is rather that the global economy is so messed up and it collapses so often that sometimes a downturn just happens to correlate with a Shemitah year. Please invest accordingly. There is basically no systematic effect. The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. During Shmita years, the market has seen a decline 46% of the time. 2007-2008 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. So even though a Shemitah year would end in the fall on Elul 29, the next harvest would not occur until at least 7-8 months later. These times makes it possible to accumulate wealth, improve your situation. Remember, each Shemitah year begins and ends in the fall, so it typically overlaps a little more than 3 months in one year of our calendar and a little less than 9 months in the following year. But it never does. came crashing down to earth. Although Cahn concluded that there was a positive correlation between the Shemitah and economic downturns, this positive conclusion occurred, because Cahns analysis did not include all possible data points; neither did it use standard scientific methods of statistical analysis. 1916-1917 Shmita Year - 40% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. During that period, on the sixth day he supplied twice as much Manna to get them through the next day, which was the Sabbath when none would appear. The Shemitah Effect also affected any person associated with agriculture, including people who made their living from working on farms, selling food, or providing equipment or services to farmers. As we have seen, there are many economic recessions and depressions, and some of them do indeed correlate to a Shemitah period. 3 Will the stock market crash at the end of this Jewish year? ", "Come, let us build ourselves a city, and a tower whose top is in the heavens; let us make a (Its a translation with an introduction of part of Rav Kooks great book on Shmita, Shabbat Haaretz, since you are kind enough to ask.). The Lord promised that he would bless Israel if they followed his ways, and the weekly Sabbath and the seventh-year Shemitah would pose no problems, but be a great blessing. On 29th Ellul, 5768, 29th September 2008, the Dow Jones Index fell 777.68 points, a little under 7%, the largest daily points drop ever, and on 29th Ellul 5761, 17th September 2001, the index plummeted 685 points the third largest one-day fall in history, a little over 7%. He described within it, as part of a series of harbingers to judgment affecting the United States and the world, a concept related to an old Jewish law often called the Shemitah (The Harbinger, p. 153). Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. This time span is due to the fact that the final harvest of the seven-year cycle would occur by spring and early summer of the sixth year and the next harvest wouldnt occur until at least half-way through the eighth year (or year one of the next Shemitah cycle). The observance of the Shemitah was meant to be good for Israel and for the Jewish people, because it was another time of rest built into their lives by the Lord. Investments in securities will not always be profitable. OK, we get poorer, but we dont really notice. Your email address will not be published. Norway's foremost claims manager | Norges fremste klagebehandler. If you just look at the stock prices, things dont look bad stocks continue to rise. and yearsthe cycle of seven weeks (7x7) points to the 50th day - Pentecost. More information about cycles (including planetary cycles) are included In the cryptocurrency trading course. More importantly, its a midterm election year, traditionally the weakest of the four-year cycle. You shall not do any work; it is a sabbath to the Lord in all your dwellings.. Callers from the UK can dial +44 20 3795-9972. The new tower raised up from Ground Zero has It is wise for us to attune our Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. It will be determined this year. As a student of the Bible and also as a scientist by training, I have to conclude that the statistical analysis of all the data indicates that the effect is not apparent. In the following table, the 20 largest negative percent changes are shown for the Dow Jones Average since the beginning of the last century, and they are either positively or negatively correlated to a Shemitah event. The beginning of American to rise to world power. It is worth noting that we are in the middle of a pandemic, and somehow the markets have ignored that. Add to the fact that this pandemic is not going out quietly, we will eventually find out that stock markets do not like uncertainty. To detect a Shemitah Effect and see if it is broader than just its relationship to Israel, we need to first map out the times that correspond to the Shemitah years within the Jewish and Gregorian calendars. In the year 2000-2001 we have seen the DOTCOM bubble pop. Global recession. sets of seven years (7x7 Shmita years) points to the 50th year - Jubilee. On January 6th, I published my Predictions for 2022, where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. hewn stones. Everything regarding property ownership would be equalized again at the Year of Jubilee. Towers symbolize a nation's power and pridethis connection can be seen from the very first The year 2022 on the Jewish calendar is a Shmita yearhistorically considered to be a year of rest, or sabbatical, following six years of work. The price increase is higher than the salary increase, but we can always go to strike and demand a raise. Although this represents a majority of Shemitah years over this time frame, the remaining ones which occurred in 1923-1924, 1944-1945, 1951-1952, 1958-1959, 1979-1980, and 1993-1994 represent times when the market either grew or stayed mostly unchanged. You may wonder how Israel could ever eliminate a year of planting and not run out of food, because the effect of the Shemitah would actually result in at least a 1.5-year interim between harvests. The Shemitah cycle is not the only cycle you can use for price predictions in Bitcoin and the stock markets. Establishment of but during the seventh year the land shall have a sabbath rest, a sabbath to the Lord; you shall not sow your field nor prune your vineyard. The shmita year, which we have just begun has called forth a remarkable renaissance of thinking and doing that aims to recover the values of the shmita and implement them in relevant and creative ways. In addition, all of Israel would have built-in rest periods designed into their economic system consisting of days and years, which would greatly reduce the stress of life. In January we put it bluntly: Longer-term time cycles dont line up for a prosperous 2022. Not only is it a mid-term election year, but also a Shmita Year. The fact that the world is in a turmoil at the moment isnt exactly breaking news. Thus, the Lord kept them away from their land in judgment for a full 70 years to allow the land to rest for the 70 Shemitahs that Israel ignored. The End of a Shemitah Year - September 25 2022 8,015 views Sep 20, 2022 Like Dislike Share Save Reppond Investments, Inc. 10.3K subscribers Feel free to contact me if you have questions or. The worlds incessant drive for nonstop growth, greater revenues and profits, and more and more material things does not allow a year of rest for the land or a remission of debts or a release of slaves. Fine grows lettuce and kale using hydroponics on raised platforms to fulfill the biblical commandment to let his farmlands rest every seventh year. Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world. In the year 2014-2015 the stock market is moving sideways and slows down within the established uptrend. A Shmita reminds a nation that it's (You can check the numbers and dates here, here and here.) There is another concept related to the Shemitah that is also vital to understand. United States enters WWI. Please invest accordingly. Its boring and time consuming, but the very episodes mentioned above may make it less boring. Vi har ftt igjen pengene vre, takket vre klagehjelpen vi fikk!Evig takknemlige!!! His greenhouse follows specific guidelines that certify the produce kosher for the sabbatical year called shmita in Hebrew, that began last month on the Jewish New Year, and extends through the fall of 2015. It is the concept that one should allow the land to go fallow, and let it rest. The US has inherited the Biblical blessings and curses. The Shemitah cycle became popular by the book The Mystery of The Shemitah by Rabbi Jonathan Cahn. ET. So what makes this Shemitah cycle so interesting? The Jewish civil calendar year begins on the first day of Tishri, which occurs in the fall, and that year then ends on Elul 29. The comparison of the volatility of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies to the volatility of any stock market index is for illustrative purposes only. Equalized again at the year 2000-2001 we have seen, there are many economic recessions depressions... 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